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St. Cloud Area Quarterly Business Report

Publication Title

St. Cloud Area Quarterly Business Report, Vol. 24, No. 4

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

Winter 12-15-2022

Abstract

We predict the St. Cloud metro area will be in recession within the next 4 to 6 months, based on results of the St. Cloud Area Quarterly Business Survey as well as data on professional employment and the stock prices of area publicly-traded corporations. The St. Cloud Index of Leading Economic Indicators fell 5% in the latest quarter and 9.8% in the last year. Employment growth in the region has slowed dramatically during the fall, lagging gains elsewhere in Minnesota. Survey results showed lower expectations of area business leaders for their own business activity and difficulty finding qualified workers.

In special questions businesses indicated tax burdens were the most common issue for the next legislative session in St. Paul. They also reported that the Federal Reserve’s higher interest rates were having negative effects; this was causing some firms to put off investment and expansion plans and others to pay down their higher-interest rate loans.

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