Culminating Project Title
Date of Award
Culminating Project Type
Applied Economics: M.S.
School of Public Affairs
Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.
Keywords and Subject Headings
Chinese economy, U.S. economy, forecasting, GDP per capita
Rapid economic growth in China has made China the world’s 2nd largest economy in term of its gross domestic product (GDP) right after the U.S. (World Bank, 2019). Will Chinese economy surpass U.S. economy is a question many wonder. Some think that there is no debate whether Chinese economy will surpass U.S.’s, the only question is when will it happen (Bloomberg 2018). This paper compares the economic growth in China and U.S. from 1982-2016 in terms of their GDP per capita (standard of living) and examines whether Chinese economy will surpass U. S’s in the next 20 years. The results indicate that independent variables such as capital, labor, saving and lagged GDP per capita have an effect on economic growth in China and variables like capital, FDI and lagged GDP per capita have an influence on economic growth in U.S. The result of this study suggests that in the next 20 years, China will not surplus U.S. in term of GDP per capita.
Peng, Esther Y., "Is China Going to be the World’s Largest Economy? - Comparing Standard of Living in China and U.S in the Next Twenty Years" (2019). Culminating Projects in Economics. 12.